Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.000626 0.000706 0.000796 0.000904 0.001033 0.001183 0.001371
2025-02-16 0.000505 0.000611 0.000742 0.000917 0.001151 0.001459 0.001907
2025-02-23 0.000439 0.000559 0.000717 0.000948 0.001287 0.001786 0.002616
2025-03-02 0.000387 0.000512 0.000687 0.000958 0.001388 0.002085 0.003397
2025-03-09 0.000342 0.000466 0.000646 0.000940 0.001439 0.002313 0.004149
2025-03-16 0.000312 0.000435 0.000622 0.000942 0.001517 0.002608 0.005170
2025-03-23 0.000289 0.000413 0.000607 0.000953 0.001611 0.002961 0.006518
2025-03-30 0.000272 0.000397 0.000599 0.000975 0.001732 0.003410 0.008413
2025-04-06 0.000254 0.000378 0.000583 0.000978 0.001813 0.003799 0.010457
2025-04-13 0.000244 0.000370 0.000585 0.001014 0.001974 0.004452 0.014051
2025-04-20 0.000224 0.000344 0.000551 0.000975 0.001955 0.004618 0.015961
2025-04-27 0.000212 0.000330 0.000538 0.000976 0.002032 0.005094 0.019927
2025-05-04 0.000203 0.000321 0.000535 0.001001 0.002182 0.005914 0.027478
2025-05-11 0.000194 0.000311 0.000529 0.001020 0.002332 0.006849 0.038580
2025-05-18 0.000188 0.000306 0.000531 0.001058 0.002545 0.008201 0.058978
2025-05-25 0.000179 0.000296 0.000523 0.001070 0.002688 0.009398 0.085801
2025-06-01 0.000169 0.000282 0.000504 0.001049 0.002725 0.010146 0.113347
2025-06-08 0.000161 0.000272 0.000493 0.001051 0.002837 0.011415 0.167507
2025-06-15 0.000155 0.000264 0.000487 0.001064 0.002992 0.013131 0.272070
2025-06-22 0.000151 0.000260 0.000486 0.001090 0.003212 0.015589 0.516131
2025-06-29 0.000145 0.000252 0.000478 0.001093 0.003345 0.017683 0.939858
2025-07-06 0.000142 0.000250 0.000482 0.001135 0.003661 0.021919 2.805071
2025-07-13 0.000134 0.000237 0.000459 0.001090 0.003578 0.022381 4.211830